Tech acquisitions and innovation
An excellent piece in a recent BusinessWeek (“Too
Much Cash, Too Little Innovation”, 7/18/05) tracks the recent rise in
tech company acquisitions. The key factor is that the big tech
companies are flush with cash, many of them sitting on billions in
reserve.
The problem is what to do with cash. One solution is
paying dividends, something which announces that a company is no longer
a growth company. Then there is spending on innovation, something that
some bigger companies are seeing smaller paybacks from. And then there
are mergers and acquisitions. According to the BusinessWeek article:
Companies have more
latitude to spend on deals when they can make the case that
consolidation will lead to stronger profits in the future, despite
evidence that merger results often fall short. That's one reason tech
M&A rose 20% last year, to $60 billion, according to Thomson Financial. The total is on track to rise 10% more this year.
The other reason for the
mergers and acquisitions is a decreasing return from research and
development. While some companies in high growth areas are still
spending major money on R & D, those in more mature industries see less growth out of innovation.
As the article puts it:
The deals are clumped in a
handful of sectors. In markets where growth has slowed sharply,
consolidation is one of the few paths to boosting profits. That's true
in traditional wire-line telecom-one reason Verizon Communications is
buying MCI, while SBC Communications is acquiring AT&T. It's also true in corporate software, where Ellison is leading the
merger wave. Oracle acquired rival PeopleSoft for $10.3 billion, all in
cash, in January, and Ellison says he's considering more deals.
Among the upcoming targets
predicted in the article are cell phone company T-Mobile, Research in
Motion (the maker of the Blackberry), customer management software
developer Siebel, and business analysis software maker Hyperion.
In
any case, the article notes that we may be reaching a slowdown in tech
innovation, at least in many sectors. Firms like Microsoft, Oracle, and
Dell are becoming more like Procter & Gamble and McDonalds than like the startups they once were. [Oligopoly Watch]