While I still await the results from Ohio, New Mexico, and Iowa, Im not optimistic. Sorry, Matt,
but I dont see a lot of hope out of this election; if we couldnt beat
this administration in a fair fight after the last four years, we need
some serious overhauling. Im thinking about what I learned last night
about the last four years, and the next four.
First: its pretty
clear that the rhetoric about election stealing, regardless of what
happened in 2000, does not apply to the 2004 electionat least not yet.
Turnout increased on both sides and so far their side had more than
Second, the country as a whole is much more
conservativesociallythan I think anyone on the left dreamed. Gone are
illusions of isolated backwaters of Bible-thumping bigotry; with results like these elsewhere in the country,
its clear that there was a major group of voters for whom protecting
God from the Democrats was much more important than worrying about
nuances of the reasoning to invade Iraq, the economic health of the
country, or the lives of our boys.
Third, I think this election
dramatically showed the strengths and limitations of the blogosphere in
the political process. While information was flowing freely, there was
a whole class of issues and voters that never showed up on the
blogospheres radar, but which turned out to be pivotal. (See my
previous post about blind spots in the blogosphere.)
while we were making logical arguments, people were falling into a
reality distortion bubble in which Iraq was involved in 9/11 and had
WMDs, John Kerry shot himself to get medals that he then threw away,
and the rest of the world likes us for our efforts in Iraq. Not just a
few peoplea lot of people. We may want to start thinking how
we reach people who have voluntarily disconnected from reality but who
vote in large numbersor, failing that, make sure that the people who
are still living in reality have all the facts.
Fifth, we may
just have been handed 2008, given that the president now has to clean
up his own Iraq mess and deal with his own budget deficit. But we cant
win an election if we handle it like we did this one, and we wont win
it if we dont start shifting the ground against the loyalty oath
people and start making people think.